Abstract
<jats:sec><jats:title>Background</jats:title><jats:p>Up to 50% of patients with dementia may not receive a formal diagnosis, limiting access to appropriate services. It may be possible to build a picture of ‘underlying undiagnosed dementia’ from a profile of symptoms recorded in routine clinical practice.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Aim</jats:title><jats:p>To develop a machine learning tool to identify patients who may have underlying dementia but have not yet received formal diagnosis from analysis of routinely collected NHS data.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Method</jats:title><jats:p>Routinely collected NHS READ-encoded data were obtained from 18 consenting GP surgeries across Devon, UK, totalling 26,483 patient records of those aged >65 years. 539 Patients were identified as having dementia within the 2 year study period (June 2010 to June 2012). We determined other codes assigned to these patients that may contribute to dementia risk. The dataset was used to train a supervised classifier (Naives Bayes) to discriminate between patients with underlying dementia and healthy controls using a ten-fold cross-validation approach.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Results</jats:title><jats:p>The model obtained a sensitivity of 72.31% and a specificity of 83.06% for identifying dementia.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Conclusion</jats:title><jats:p>Routinely collected NHS data can be used to identify patients who are likely to have undiagnosed dementia. This type of methodology is promising for increasing dementia diagnosis within primary care.</jats:p></jats:sec>
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | e4.134-e4 |
Number of pages | 0 |
Journal | Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery & Psychiatry |
Volume | 86 |
Issue number | 11 |
Early online date | 14 Oct 2015 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - Nov 2015 |