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Spatially variable response of Antarctica’s ice sheets to orbital forcing during the Pliocene

  • Molly O. Patterson*
  • , Christiana Rosenberg
  • , Osamu Seki
  • , Masanobu Yamamoto
  • , Oscar E. Romero
  • , Mei Nelissen
  • , Francesca Sangiorgi
  • , Nicholas R. Golledge
  • , Georgia Grant
  • , William D. Arnuk
  • , Benjamin Keisling
  • , Timothy Naish
  • , Richard Levy
  • , Stephen Meyers
  • , Nicholas Sullivan
  • , Jeanine Ash
  • , Denise Kulhanek
  • , Brian W. Romans
  • , Natalia Varela Valenzuela
  • , Harold Jones
  • Francois Beny, Imogen Browne, Giuseppe Cortese, Isobela M.C. Sousa, Justin P. Dodd, Oliver M. Esper, Jenny Gales, David Harwood, Saki Ishino, Sookwan Kim, Sunghan Kim, Jan S. Laberg, R. Mark Leckie, Juliane Müller, Amelia Shevenell, Shiv Singh, Saiko T. Sugisaki, Tina van de Flierdt, Tim van Peer, Wenshen Xiao, Zhifang Xiong, Laura De Santis, Robert McKay
*Corresponding author for this work
  • State University of New York Binghamton University
  • Hokkaido University
  • University of Bremen
  • Alfred Wegener Institute - Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research
  • Utrecht University
  • Victoria University of Wellington
  • Earth Sciences New Zealand
  • University of Texas at Austin
  • University of Wisconsin-Madison
  • Rice University
  • Texas A&M University
  • Kiel University
  • Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
  • University of Virginia
  • Laboratoire d'Océanologie et de Géosciences
  • University of South Florida
  • Université du Québec à Montréal
  • Northern Illinois University
  • University of Nebraska-Lincoln
  • National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology
  • Korea Institute of Ocean Science & Technology
  • Korea Polar Research Institute
  • University of Tromsø – The Arctic University of Norway
  • University of Massachusetts
  • National Centre for Antarctic & Ocean Research
  • Banaras Hindu University
  • Imperial College London
  • University of Southampton
  • University of Leicester
  • Tongji University
  • CAS - Institute of Oceanology
  • National Institute of Oceanography and Applied Geophysics

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract

Variations in Earth’s orbit pace global ice-volume and sea-level changes, but the variability in the response for different sectors of the Antarctic Ice Sheet to orbitally forced climate change remains unclear. Here we present geological records of iceberg-rafted debris and other proxies from locations adjacent to the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) with comparisons to an existing East Antarctic Ice Sheet (EAIS) record over the time interval ~3.3–2.3 million years ago. Iceberg calving events from the WAIS recorded in Ross Sea sediment cores show a linear response to orbital forcing at timescales corresponding to obliquity (~40,000 years) and precession (~23,000–19,000 years) modulated by eccentricity (~100,000 years). This contrasts with an existing record adjacent to the EAIS, which does not contain obliquity pacing. Combined with ice-sheet model sensitivity tests, the geological data show that the WAIS is highly dynamic and responsive to oceanic melt driven by changes in Southern Ocean circulation, together with atmospheric forcing through variations in local insolation. Conversely, the EAIS appears less responsive to oceanic forcing, despite being the dominant source of meltwater to the global ocean during the mid-Pliocene. Our results imply a substantial role for atmospheric warming on mid-Pliocene sea-level from both WAIS and EAIS.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)182-188
Number of pages7
JournalNature Geoscience
Volume19
Issue number2
Early online date2 Jan 2026
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Feb 2026

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 13 - Climate Action
    SDG 13 Climate Action

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • General Earth and Planetary Sciences

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  • Spatially variable response of Antarctica's ice sheets to orbital forcing during the Pliocene

    Patterson, M. P., Rosenberg , C., Yamamoto , M., Romero , O., Nelissen , M., Sangiorigi, F., Golledge , N., Grant , G., Arnuk, W., Keisling , B., Naish , T., Levy , R., Meyers , S., Sullivan , N., Ash , J., Kulhanek , D., Romans , B., Verela , N., Jones , H. & Beny , F. & 21 others, Browne, I., Cortese, G., Cordeiro de Sousa , I., Dodd , J., Esper, O., Gales, J., Harwood , D., Ishino , S., Kim , S., Kim , S., Laberg , J. S., Leckie , R., Muller , J., Shevenell , A., Singh , S., Sugisaki , S., Van de Flierdt , T., van Peer , T., Xiao, W., De Santis , L. & McKay, R., 2 Oct 2025, (Accepted) (Nature Geoscience).

    Research output: Working paper / Preprint › Preprint

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