Solutions for ecosystem‐level protection of ocean systems under climate change

Ana M. Queirós*, Klaus B. Huebert, Friedemann Keyl, Jose A. Fernandes, Willem Stolte, Marie Maar, Susan Kay, Miranda C. Jones, Katell G. Hamon, Gerrit Hendriksen, Youen Vermard, Paul Marchal, Lorna R. Teal, Paul J. Somerfield, Melanie C. Austen, Manuel Barange, Anne F. Sell, Icarus Allen, Myron A. Peck

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p>The Paris Conference of Parties (<jats:styled-content style="fixed-case">COP</jats:styled-content>21) agreement renewed momentum for action against climate change, creating the space for solutions for conservation of the ocean addressing two of its largest threats: climate change and ocean acidification (<jats:styled-content style="fixed-case">CCOA</jats:styled-content>). Recent arguments that ocean policies disregard a mature conservation research field and that protected areas cannot address climate change may be oversimplistic at this time when dynamic solutions for the management of changing oceans are needed. We propose a novel approach, based on spatial meta‐analysis of climate impact models, to improve the positioning of marine protected areas to limit <jats:styled-content style="fixed-case">CCOA</jats:styled-content> impacts. We do this by estimating the vulnerability of ocean ecosystems to <jats:styled-content style="fixed-case">CCOA</jats:styled-content> in a spatially explicit manner and then co‐mapping human activities such as the placement of renewable energy developments and the distribution of marine protected areas. We test this approach in the <jats:styled-content style="fixed-case">NE</jats:styled-content> Atlantic considering also how <jats:styled-content style="fixed-case">CCOA</jats:styled-content> impacts the base of the food web which supports protected species, an aspect often neglected in conservation studies. We found that, in this case, current regional conservation plans protect areas with low ecosystem‐level vulnerability to <jats:styled-content style="fixed-case">CCOA</jats:styled-content>, but disregard how species may redistribute to new, suitable and productive habitats. Under current plans, these areas remain open to commercial extraction and other uses. Here, and worldwide, ocean conservation strategies under <jats:styled-content style="fixed-case">CCOA</jats:styled-content> must recognize the long‐term importance of these habitat refuges, and studies such as this one are needed to identify them. Protecting these areas creates adaptive, climate‐ready and ecosystem‐level policy options for conservation, suitable for changing oceans.</jats:p>
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)3927-3936
Number of pages0
JournalGlobal Change Biology
Volume22
Issue number12
Early online date26 Aug 2016
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Dec 2016

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