Practical diagnosis of cirrhosis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease using currently available non-invasive fibrosis tests

J Boursier, Marine Roux, Charlotte Costentin, Julien Chaigneau, Céline Fournier-Poizat, Aldo Trylesinski, CM Canivet, Sophie Michalak, Bail B Le, Valérie Paradis, Pierre Bedossa, Nathalie Sturm, Ledinghen V de, Justine Barthelon, J Boursier, Paul Cales, C Canivet, Thomas Decaens, Adèle Delamarre, Paul HermabessiereMarie Irles-Depé, Ledinghen V de, Marie Noelle Hilleret, Isabelle Fouchard-Hubert, Adrien Lannes, Bail B Le, Valérie Moal, Fréderic Oberti, Michael Allison, Quentin M. Anstee, Jeremy F. Cobbold, Jonathan J. Deeks, Peter J. Eddowes, Indra N. Guha, David Sheridan, Emmanuel Tsochatzis, Philip N. Newsome

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Abstract

Unlike for advanced liver fibrosis, the practical rules for the early non-invasive diagnosis of cirrhosis in NAFLD remain not well defined. Here, we report the derivation and validation of a stepwise diagnostic algorithm in 1568 patients with NAFLD and liver biopsy coming from four independent cohorts. The study algorithm, using first the elastography-based tests Agile3+ and Agile4 and then the specialized blood tests FibroMeterV3G and CirrhoMeterV3G, provides stratification in four groups, the last of which is enriched in cirrhosis (71% prevalence in the validation set). A risk prediction chart is also derived to allow estimation of the individual probability of cirrhosis. The predicted risk shows excellent calibration in the validation set, and mean difference with perfect prediction is only −2.9%. These tools improve the personalized non-invasive diagnosis of cirrhosis in NAFLD.
Original languageEnglish
Number of pages0
JournalNature Communications
Volume14
Issue number1
Early online date26 Aug 2023
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 26 Aug 2023

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