Evaluating scenarios toward zero plastic pollution

Winnie W.Y. Lau*, Yonathan Shiran*, Richard M. Bailey*, Ed Cook, Martin R. Stuchtey, Julia Koskella, Costas A. Velis*, Linda Godfrey, Julien Boucher, Margaret B. Murphy, Richard C. Thompson, Emilia Jankowska, Arturo Castillo Castillo, Toby D. Pilditch, Ben Dixon, Laura Koerselman, Edward Kosior, Enzo Favoino, Jutta Gutberlet, Sarah BaulchMeera E. Atreya, David Fischer, Kevin K. He, Milan M. Petit, U. Rashid Sumaila, Emily Neil, Mark V. Bernhofen, Keith Lawrence, James E. Palardy*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

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Abstract

<jats:p>Plastic pollution is a pervasive and growing problem. To estimate the effectiveness of interventions to reduce plastic pollution, we modeled stocks and flows of municipal solid waste and four sources of microplastics through the global plastic system for five scenarios between 2016 and 2040. Implementing all feasible interventions reduced plastic pollution by 40% from 2016 rates and 78% relative to “business as usual” in 2040. Even with immediate and concerted action, 710 million metric tons of plastic waste cumulatively entered aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems. To avoid a massive build-up of plastic in the environment, coordinated global action is urgently needed to reduce plastic consumption; increase rates of reuse, waste collection, and recycling; expand safe disposal systems; and accelerate innovation in the plastic value chain.</jats:p>
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1455-1461
Number of pages0
JournalScience
Volume369
Issue number6510
Early online date23 Jul 2020
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 18 Sept 2020

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